Weekend Box Office (April 25 - 27, 2014)
by Sujit Chawla
THIS WEEKEND Three very different films try to pick up the last of the pre-summer movie season scraps before a certain webslinger flies into multiplexes next weekend.
Fox aims for the female dollar with The Other Woman starring Cameron Diaz, Leslie Mann and Kate Upton. The film, which has Mann's husband cheating on her with both Diaz and Upton, is aimed directly at women with not much for men on the table (besides the three beautiful leads of course). While this is being pitched as more of a female empowerment film than a man-hating film, ladies will have a hard time getting their men to go with them to the theaters, especially with The Amazing Spider-Man 2 lurking in the shadows. With decent starpower but poor reviews, look for The Other Woman to debut with around $14M.
Relativity counters with its male-skewing parkour action film Brick Mansions, which stars the late Paul Walker. It's a legitimate question as to whether this film would have gotten as large a release as it has without Walker's passing, but it is almost certain his role in the film will bring a lot more curious eyes to the theater. The storyline isn't very original but the stunts and action sequences should make genre fans happy. Again, with your friendly neighborhood Spider-Man only a few days away, some may decide to keep their money in their pockets, but Brick Mansions could rustle up $11M this weekend.
Lionsgate offers up the horror film The Quiet Ones in an effort to find some scares, but will likely only find a resounding 'meh' from moviegoers. Trailers feel like they're made from previous genre films, and the early reviews are not too promising. With men and women being split with the other two wide releases, who will The Quiet Ones get their money from? The better-reviewed Oculus is entering its third weekend and will steal away a couple of million dollars, leaving The Quiet Ones with maybe around $6M.
God and his buddies have been doing big business at the box office this season. Noah opened to $43.7M before plummeting 61% in its second weekend but has still racked up $93M stateside and $300M+ worldwide. God's Not Dead opened to a much smaller $9.2M but has held on remarkably well over the last month and is currently standing at $50M. And Son of God opened to $25M (that's two-and-a-half times as big as Johnny Depp's Transcendence which likely cost 50 times more) and after two months has taken in $60M. With Easter having passed, it's hard to tell how Heaven Is for Real will hold up in its second weekend, but even a 50% drop would mean $11M this weekend and a cume of $45M.
Speaking of Transcendence, the colossal bomb with poor reviews and horrible word of mouth could drop 60-70% this weekend, which would leave it with a paltry $3-4M and a total of $17M by the end of the weekend. Fellow sophomore A Haunted House 2 will likely see a second weekend within that same range. And, with one week to go before his Avengers teammate (in the comic books at least) hits theaters, Captain America: The Winter Soldier looks to try and four-peat at the top of the box office. A 40% drop would give it $15M which could very well be enough to keep it on top for one last weekend.
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Watch the NEW trailer for X-Men: Days of Future Past.
For a review of Captain America: The Winter Soldier visit The Chief Report.
LAST YEAR Michael Bay's Pain & Gain led a lackluster final April frame debuting to $20M on its way to a $50M finale. In its second weekend, Tom Cruise's Oblivion slid 52% to $17,8M, while in its third weekend, the biopic 42 took in an additional $10.6M. Rounding out the top give was newcomer The Big Wedding which opened to $7.6M on its way to $22M and The Croods in its sixth weekend took in $6.7M.
This column is updated three times each week: Thursday (upcoming weekend's summary), Sunday (post-weekend analysis with estimates), and Monday night (actuals). Opinions expressed in this column are those solely of the author.
Last Updated: April 24, 2014 at 8:00AM ET
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