Weekend Box Office (December 28 - 30, 2012)


by Gitesh Pandya

THIS WEEKEND For a third consecutive frame, The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey led the North American box office but this time was joined by a trio of new releases opening on Christmas Day which filled up the next spots on the charts over a red hot final weekend of 2012.

Smashing through the $200M barrier, The Hobbit collected an estimated $32.9M in its third journey pushing the 17-day cume up to a sizable $222.7M. Warner Bros. enjoyed a slim 11% decline and fared very well during this past Christmas week. Finishing with $290M seems very likely while reaching the $300M mark remains a possibility as well. Hobbit should surpass $700M globally before the start of 2013.

Quentin Tarantino enjoyed the biggest debut of his career with his latest film Django Unchained which took in an estimated $30.7M over the weekend and a superb $64M in the six days since its Christmas Day launch on Tuesday. That's already bigger than his old career best opening week (first seven days) of $53.7M for his last film Inglourious Basterds which debuted on a summer Friday in 2009.

The slave Western starring Jamie Foxx, Christoph Waltz, Samuel L. Jackson, and Leonardo DiCaprio averaged a strong $10,195 from 3,010 locations making for the best average of any wide release. That is especially impressive for an R-rated film that runs nearly three hours long. Controversy related to Django's language and violence resulted in extra press coverage and more buzz and multiplexes enjoyed the benefits.

The Weinstein Co. is positioning the revenge film as both an awards contender and a commercial blockbuster and so far is succeeding on both fronts. Reviews have been very positive and the CinemaScore grade was an encouraging A-. Django Unchained already seems on track to beat the $120.5M of Basterds to become Tarantino's highest grossing film ever.

Finishing close behind in third place was the acclaimed musical Les Miserables with an estimated $28M over the Friday-to-Sunday period and a sturdy $67.4M since its Christmas launch. The Universal release averaged a terrific $9,960 from only 2,814 locations and is aiming for a long run ahead thanks to excellent word-of-mouth and upcoming awards activity including Oscar nominations and Golden Globe wins which are expected.

The Hugh Jackman-led film started off with the second best Christmas Day opening in history with $18.2M on Tuesday trailing only the $24.6M Friday of Sherlock Holmes in 2009. Compared to Django, Les Miserables has seen more erosion over the six-day launch period. But since it is based on a world-famous musical, the run was expected to have a big upfront showing of die-hard fans. Studio exit polls showed that the audience was 67% female with the overall CinemaScore being a glowing A grade.

Produced for $61M, the PG-13 film enjoyed international success too with $38.3M this weekend from only eight markets, mostly in the Pacific Rim, for a $48.7M cume and $116.2M worldwide total so far with plenty more to come. Korea accounts for nearly half of the overseas tally with a sensational $20.1M beating the opening of The Hobbit.

Opening in fourth place was the Billy Crystal-Bette Midler family comedy Parental Guidance with $14.8M and $29.6M since its Christmas Day bow. The PG-rated pic about grandparents having to care for their modern grandkids averaged a moderate $4,396 over the weekend period. With few clean options this holiday season that the whole family can enjoy together, Guidance connected with its target audience and will now try to keep it going through January when direct competition will still be light. Fox's $25M production played to a crowd that was 52% female and 55% over 25. Reviews were lousy.

Tom Cruise dropped down to fifth place with his latest action entry Jack Reacher which dipped a reasonable 10% to an estimated $14M pushing the ten-day total up to $44.7M for Paramount. Judd Apatow's new comedy This is 40 climbed up 14% from last weekend and grossed an estimated $13.2M for a ten-day take of $37.1M. The Paul Rudd-Leslie Mann pic picked up steam after Christmas once its target audience became more available, however the Universal title still sits far behind the $65.9M that Knocked Up grossed in its first ten days in 2007.

Moviegoers with extra time on their hands caught up with one of the hottest Oscar hopefuls out there, Steven Spielberg's Lincoln. The Daniel Day-Lewis starrer surged 36% from last weekend - the best jump in the top ten - and took in an estimated $7.5M bumping the cume up to a sturdy $132M for Disney. The Republican president has been cleaning up at the box office and has plenty of firepower left especially with the expected boatload of Oscar nominations coming in less than two weeks. Lincoln is now the top-grossing drama of 2012. Another older-skewing film that saw sales climb from last weekend was the Barbra Streisand comedy The Guilt Trip which banked an estimated $6.7M, up 24% from its disappointing debut. The Paramount title has collected only $21.1M in 12 days.

Animated films rounded out the top ten. Disney's 3D re-release of Monsters, Inc. shot up 33% and grossed an estimated $6.4M for $18.5M after 12 days. The Pixar hit's lifetime total now stands at $274.4M. Rival DreamWorks Animation suffered a 17% decline for its holiday adventure Rise of the Guardians which did an estimated $4.9M upping the cume to $90.2M. Studios missed out on a major opportunity by not releasing any major new toons this Christmas.

The James Bond cash cow Skyfall fell from the top ten in its eighth round, however it reached a key milestone by breaking the $1 billion barrier in worldwide box office. Sony's spy actioner captured an estimated $4.6M domestically, off a scant 2%, raising its sum to an incredible $289.6M. Overseas, Daniel Craig and company took in $10.3M boosting the hefty international tally to $710.6M and the worldwide haul to a cool $1B. In the U.K, Skyfall has become the top-grossing film of all-time and the first blockbuster ever to cross the £100M mark.

The Weinstein Co. went fully nationwide with its awards contender Silver Linings Playbook widening the seven-week old comedy from 371 to 745 locations and made an estimated $4.1M for a $5,517 average - commendable for a film this old. The average was higher than last weekend's despite the expansion which indicates that audiences are still interested in the Bradley Cooper-Jennifer Lawrence pic regardless of the flood of other Oscar hopefuls out there. Cume to date is $27.4M.

The acclaimed Osama bin Laden manhunt pic Zero Dark Thirty suffered a 23% drop from its red hot debut last weekend which was unusual for a holiday frame when moviegoers are more available. Still, Sony's Kathryn Bigelow-directed thriller averaged a sensational $63,000 from only five theaters in New York and Los Angeles. Zero expands to more cities on Friday including San Francisco, Chicago, and Boston and goes nationwide on January 11, one day after Oscar nominations are announced.

Lacking awards buzz, Matt Damon's new film Promised Land attracted a mild debut in limited release grossing an estimated $190,150 from 25 locations for a $7,606 average. Focus plans to expand nationwide on Friday into an aggressive 1,500 theaters which will be challenging given the opening weekend performance and the fact that rival arthouse pic The Impossible - which has earned better reviews and stronger box office - also goes wide on the same day. Reviews have been mixed for Promised Land.

The top ten films grossed an estimated $159.1M which was up 18% from last year when Mission: Impossible - Ghost Protocol was number one with $29.4M; and up 16% from 2010 when Little Fockers remained in the top spot with $25.8M.


Compared to projections, Django Unchained and Les Miserables both opened close to my Friday-to-Sunday forecasts of $27M and $30M while Parental Guidance was on target with my $15M prediction.

Get earlier box office updates and analysis by following BoxOfficeGuru.com on Twitter.

Watch the trailer for Star Trek Into Darkness.

For a review of The Hobbit visit The Chief Report.

Be sure to check back on Monday for final studio figures and again on Thursday for a complete summary, including projections, for next weekend when Texas Chainsaw 3D opens.


# Title Dec 28 - 30 Dec 21 - 23 % Chg. Theaters Weeks AVG Cumulative Distributor
1 The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey $ 32,920,000 $ 36,940,000 -10.9 4,100 3 $ 8,029 $ 222,703,000 Warner Bros.
2 Django Unchained 30,688,000 3,010 1 10,195 64,008,000 Weinstein Co.
3 Les Miserables 28,028,000 2,814 1 9,960 67,400,000 Universal
4 Parental Guidance 14,800,000 3,367 1 4,396 29,589,000 Fox
5 Jack Reacher 14,010,000 15,600,000 -10.2 3,352 2 4,180 44,661,000 Paramount
6 This is 40 13,186,000 11,579,175 13.9 2,914 2 4,525 37,100,000 Universal
7 Lincoln 7,509,000 5,525,774 35.9 1,966 8 3,819 132,039,000 Disney
8 The Guilt Trip 6,700,000 5,390,000 24.3 2,431 2 2,756 21,102,000 Paramount
9 Monsters, Inc. 3D 6,363,000 4,774,686 33.3 2,618 2 2,430 18,490,000 Disney
10 Rise of the Guardians 4,900,000 5,900,000 -16.9 2,055 6 2,384 90,230,000 Paramount
Top 5 $ 120,446,000 $ 75,544,949 59.4
Top 10 159,104,000 97,053,827 63.9
Top 10 vs. 2011 159,104,000 134,488,475 18.3
Top 10 vs. 2010 159,104,000 137,343,062 15.8
Below the Top 10:
Skyfall 4,600,000 4,700,000 -2.1 1,637 8 2,810 289,600,000 Sony
Silver Linings Playbook 4,110,000 1,781,196 130.7 745 7 5,517 27,361,000 Weinstein Co.
Life of Pi 3,825,000 4,017,237 -4.8 1,178 6 3,247 84,695,000 Fox
Twilight: Breaking Dawn Pt. 2 2,450,000 2,626,955 -6.7 1,191 7 2,057 286,130,000 Summit
Cirque Du Soleil: Worlds Away 2,400,000 2,135,000 12.4 840 2 2,857 7,407,000 Paramount
Wreck-It Ralph 2,005,000 1,819,036 10.2 913 9 2,196 175,655,000 Disney
Argo 1,075,000 903,000 19.0 345 12 3,116 108,534,000 Warner Bros.
Anna Karenina 527,000 669,187 -21.2 218 7 2,417 10,709,000 Focus
Flight 460,000 709,000 -35.1 400 9 1,150 91,922,000 Paramount
Hyde Park on Hudson 429,000 387,579 10.7 84 4 5,107 1,731,000 Focus
Hitchcock 400,000 579,676 -31.0 349 6 1,146 5,007,000 Fox Searchlight
Zero Dark Thirty 315,000 410,000 -23.2 5 2 63,000 1,368,000 Sony
Promised Land 190,150 25 1 7,606 190,150 Focus
The Impossible 184,500 143,818 28.3 15 2 12,300 485,000 Summit


Last Updated: December 30, 2012 at 2:50PM ET

Watch Gitesh Pandya's weekly box office preview on CNN International airing live each Thursday at 6:40pm ET.